The southwest monsoon is retreating from more parts of India, yet weather activity is expected to continue across several states. The India Meteorological Department has forecast rain, thunderstorms and strong winds in parts of eastern India, the northern peninsula and the Northeast as conditions develop over the next two to 3 days.

Bihar recorded heavy to very heavy rain in some areas during the past 24 hours, with rainfall measuring 12 to 20 centimetres. Northern Tamil Nadu, northern Kerala and coastal Odisha also received 7 to 11 centimetres of rain. Hail was reported in parts of Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand and northwestern Uttar Pradesh.

A possible low-pressure area over the Bay of Bengal around 13 October is an important factor in the upcoming weather pattern. The system could increase rainfall activity in parts of eastern and southern India. A cyclonic circulation near the Gulf of Mannar and southern Tamil Nadu may also influence conditions.

Delhi-NCR, Uttar Pradesh and Bihar

Delhi is likely to see moderate rain and strong wind gusts on 11 October. Wind speeds may reach 25 to 30 kilometres per hour. The capital's maximum temperature is expected to be 30 degrees Celsius, while the minimum may remain at 21 degrees Celsius.

Cloudy conditions or rain are also possible in Noida, Ghaziabad, Gurugram and Faridabad, although rainfall may not occur uniformly across the entire National Capital Region.

In Uttar Pradesh, light to moderate rain is likely in Meerut, Ghaziabad, Agra, Mathura, Gonda, Sonbhadra, Kanpur, Lakhimpur Kheri, Pilibhit, Bahraich, Balrampur, Maharajganj, Unnao, Etah, Etawah, Firozabad, Azamgarh, Kasganj and Mainpuri. Some areas may receive winds moving at 30 to 40 kilometres per hour.

Bihar may see rain and strong winds in Patna, Gaya, Jehanabad, Siwan, Buxar, Saran, Bhojpur, Muzaffarpur, Vaishali, Samastipur, Darbhanga, Madhubani, Purnia, Kishanganj, Katihar, Bhagalpur and Munger. Winds could reach 30 to 40 kilometres per hour. Patna is expected to record a maximum of 31 degrees Celsius and a minimum of 23 degrees Celsius.

Jharkhand and West Bengal

Rain is possible in Ranchi, Simdega, Dhanbad, Giridih, Sahibganj, Hazaribagh, Palamu, Jamshedpur, Gumla, Garhwa and Bokaro on 11 and 12 October. Some locations may receive moderate to heavy rain, with winds reaching about 30 to 35 kilometres per hour.

West Bengal may also experience rain in Kolkata, Nadia, Alipurduar, Birbhum and Darjeeling. Wind gusts in some areas could reach 50 to 60 kilometres per hour. Kolkata is expected to have a maximum temperature of 32 degrees Celsius and a minimum of 24 degrees Celsius.

Southern and central India

Tamil Nadu, Puducherry and Karaikal may experience strong winds moving at 40 to 50 kilometres per hour. The forecast also covers the influence of the circulation near the Gulf of Mannar and southern Tamil Nadu.

In Madhya Pradesh, light rain and strong winds are possible in Bhopal, Indore, Vidisha, Ashoknagar, Neemuch, Umaria, Narmadapuram, Mandla, Anuppur, Morena, Dhar and Dewas.

Rajasthan may see light rain and strong winds in Bharatpur, Bikaner, Udaipur, Jaipur, Ajmer, Kota and Bundi. Winds may reach 20 to 30 kilometres per hour. Parts of western Rajasthan may experience thunderstorms and winds moving at 30 to 40 kilometres per hour.

Forecast temperatures for 11 October

The expected temperatures include 27 and 19 degrees Celsius in Ranchi, 34 and 22 degrees in Jaipur, 32 and 28 degrees in Chennai, and 20 and 14 degrees in Nainital. Bhopal may record 32 and 30 degrees, while Mumbai may see 37 and 27 degrees.

Shimla is expected to remain at 17 and 11 degrees. Patna may record 31 and 23 degrees, Delhi 30 and 21 degrees, and Kolkata 32 and 24 degrees. These figures represent the expected maximum and minimum temperatures respectively.

Conclusion

Monsoon withdrawal is continuing, but rain, hail and strong winds remain possible across several regions. The developing weather system over the Bay of Bengal could become important for rainfall in eastern and southern India around 13 October.

Frequently Asked Questions

Q. Which areas recorded heavy rain recently?

Bihar recorded heavy to very heavy rain, with 12 to 20 centimetres reported in some areas. Northern Tamil Nadu, northern Kerala and coastal Odisha received 7 to 11 centimetres.

Q. What weather is expected in Delhi on 11 October?

Delhi may receive moderate rain and strong wind gusts. Winds could reach 25 to 30 kilometres per hour.

Q. Which states may see strong winds?

Parts of Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Jharkhand, West Bengal, Rajasthan, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry and Karaikal may experience strong winds.

Q. What is developing over the Bay of Bengal?

A low-pressure area may form around 13 October. It could increase rainfall activity in parts of eastern and southern India.

Q. Will Bihar receive more rain?

Rain and strong winds are possible in several Bihar districts on 11 October after heavy to very heavy rain was recorded in some areas.

Q. Which areas may receive hail?

Hail was reported in parts of Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand and northwestern Uttar Pradesh during the past 24 hours.