The BJP-led National Democratic Alliance is projected to secure a majority in the Lok Sabha if elections were held today, according to an India Today-C Voter Mood of the Nation survey. The poll estimates 326 seats for the NDA, compared with 185 for the Congress-led INDIA bloc.
The Lok Sabha has 543 elected seats. A party or alliance needs at least 272 seats to cross the majority mark and form a government at the Centre. On the survey’s projection, the NDA would therefore remain above that threshold without needing additional support.
Vote share and party-wise projection
The survey, conducted between 1 July and 25 August 2026, puts the NDA’s vote share at 45%. The INDIA bloc is projected to receive 39%, while other parties are assigned 16%.
The seat projection also shows a wide gap between the BJP and Congress. The BJP is estimated to win 261 seats, while Congress is projected to secure 106 seats.
The supplied survey figures are:
- NDA: 326 seats and 45% vote share
- INDIA bloc: 185 seats and 39% vote share
- Other parties: 16% vote share
Difference in the alliance projections
The projected gap between the NDA and the INDIA bloc is 141 seats, based on the figures of 326 and 185. The NDA’s projected vote share is also 6 percentage points higher than that of the INDIA bloc, based on 45% and 39%.
The source material gives differing seat figures for parties outside the 2 alliances. 1 part projects 32 seats for other parties, while the accompanying table lists 16 seats. It also refers to parties including the Aam Aadmi Party and the DMK within the broader category of other parties.
The survey’s central projection is that the NDA would cross the Lok Sabha majority threshold, while the INDIA bloc would remain below it. The figures are presented as an estimate of the current political situation rather than as the result of an actual election.
